Price determination and inventory allocation based on spot and futures markets in future site channels for online advertising
First Claim
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1. A method for establishing a true market value for an online advertisement, comprising:
- employing a processor executing computer executable instructions embodied on a computer readable storage medium to perform the following acts;
receiving data related to a guaranteed price for ad units in a future market and prices for ad units in a spot market;
identifying ad sales within the data that are similar to an ad unit that a publisher is making available to advertisers in the spot market and the future market using a machine classifier that maps attributes of the ad sales to attributes of the ad unit, wherein attributes include ad position;
establishing a starting ad price for an ad unit in the spot market based upon the data related to the guaranteed price for the ad units received from the future market by employing a probabilistic analysis that infer the starting ad price using a support vector machine that generates a computation of a probability distribution for different starting prices based on consideration of the data related to the future market; and
establishing a guaranteed ad price for the ad unit in the future market based upon the data.
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Abstract
The claimed subject matter provides a system and/or a method that facilitates establishing a true market value for an online advertisement. An interface component can receive data related to at least one of a spot market or a future market. A dynamic pricing component can dynamically establish an ad price for an ad unit based on the spot market and the future market, the ad price reflects a market value of the ad unit in accordance with the spot market and the future market.
106 Citations
17 Claims
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1. A method for establishing a true market value for an online advertisement, comprising:
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employing a processor executing computer executable instructions embodied on a computer readable storage medium to perform the following acts; receiving data related to a guaranteed price for ad units in a future market and prices for ad units in a spot market; identifying ad sales within the data that are similar to an ad unit that a publisher is making available to advertisers in the spot market and the future market using a machine classifier that maps attributes of the ad sales to attributes of the ad unit, wherein attributes include ad position; establishing a starting ad price for an ad unit in the spot market based upon the data related to the guaranteed price for the ad units received from the future market by employing a probabilistic analysis that infer the starting ad price using a support vector machine that generates a computation of a probability distribution for different starting prices based on consideration of the data related to the future market; and establishing a guaranteed ad price for the ad unit in the future market based upon the data. - View Dependent Claims (2, 3, 4, 5, 6, 7, 8, 9, 10, 11, 12, 13)
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14. A method that facilitates generating a price for a portion of an online advertisement, comprising:
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employing a processor executing computer executable instructions embodied on a computer readable storage medium to perform the following acts; evaluating at least one spot market and one future market by employing a probabilistic analysis that infers the starting ad price using a support vector machine that generates a computation of a probability distribution for different prices based on consideration of the data related to the future market and the spot market; automatically apportioning an inventory of a plurality of ad units based upon the evaluation for a publisher, wherein a subset of the inventory is apportioned to the spot market and a subset of the inventory is apportioned to the future market; and generating a set price for the inventory apportioned to the future market and a starting price for the inventory apportioned to the spot market based at least in part upon the evaluation. - View Dependent Claims (15, 16)
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17. One or more computer-storage hardware devices having computer-executable instructions embodied thereon that when executed by a computing device facilitates establishing a true market value for an online advertisement, comprising:
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receiving data related to at least one of a spot market or a future market; indentifying at least one sale within the spot market for an ad unit similar to an ad unit in the future market using a machine classifier that maps attributes of the at least one sale to attributes of the ad unit; automatically apportioning an inventory of a plurality of ad units based upon the data, wherein a subset of the inventory is apportioned to the spot market and a subset of the inventory is apportioned to the future market; dynamically establishing a set ad price for the ad unit in the future market based upon a sale price for the identified at least one ad sale within the spot market by employing a probabilistic analysis to infer the set ad price for the ad unit in the future market using a support vector machine that generates a probability distribution for different set ad prices based on ad sales within the spot market; and consummating transactions for the ad units in both the spot market and the future market based on the apportionment.
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Specification