Crime risk forecasting
First Claim
Patent Images
1. A computer system comprising:
- a database storing historical crime incident data reflecting crime incidents that occurred over a past period of time;
one or more computer readable media storing one or more software modules comprising computer executable instructions;
one or more hardware processors in communication with the one or more computer readable media, and configured to execute a forecasting module of the software modules in order to generate a crime risk forecast based at least on the historical crime incident data stored in the database, the generated crime risk forecast being for a particular target geographic area, a particular future time window, and a particular crime type;
the one or more hardware processors further configured to execute the forecasting module in order to generate a crime risk rating as part of generating the crime risk forecast;
the one or more hardware processors further configured to execute a presentation module of the software modules in order to generate and display a graphical user interface overlay on an interactive geospatial basemap generated by a geospatial application, the overlay visually indicating the particular target geographic area of the generated crime risk forecast on the interactive geospatial basemap, the overlay visually indicating the particular future time window of the generated crime risk forecast, and the overlay visually indicating the particular crime type of the generated crime risk forecast;
the one or more hardware processors further configured to execute the presentation module in order to generate and display, as part of the overlay, a visual indication of the generated crime risk rating;
wherein the particular future time window corresponds to a particular future law enforcement patrol shift, the particular future law enforcement patrol shift corresponding periodically recurring continuous period of time;
wherein the overlay visually indicates the particular future law enforcement patrol shift;
wherein the overlay further visually indicates, for each of a plurality of periodically recurring continuous sub-time periods of the periodically recurring continuous period of time, a number of the historical crime incidents that occurred during the each periodically recurring continuous sub-time period and in the particular target geographic area.
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Abstract
A computer-based crime risk forecasting system and corresponding method are provided for generating crime risk forecasts and conveying the forecasts to a user. With the conveyed forecasts, the user can more effectively gauge both the level of increased crime threat and its potential duration. The user can then leverage the information conveyed by the forecasts to take a more proactive approach to law enforcement in the affected areas during the period of increased crime threat.
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Citations
20 Claims
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1. A computer system comprising:
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a database storing historical crime incident data reflecting crime incidents that occurred over a past period of time; one or more computer readable media storing one or more software modules comprising computer executable instructions; one or more hardware processors in communication with the one or more computer readable media, and configured to execute a forecasting module of the software modules in order to generate a crime risk forecast based at least on the historical crime incident data stored in the database, the generated crime risk forecast being for a particular target geographic area, a particular future time window, and a particular crime type; the one or more hardware processors further configured to execute the forecasting module in order to generate a crime risk rating as part of generating the crime risk forecast; the one or more hardware processors further configured to execute a presentation module of the software modules in order to generate and display a graphical user interface overlay on an interactive geospatial basemap generated by a geospatial application, the overlay visually indicating the particular target geographic area of the generated crime risk forecast on the interactive geospatial basemap, the overlay visually indicating the particular future time window of the generated crime risk forecast, and the overlay visually indicating the particular crime type of the generated crime risk forecast; the one or more hardware processors further configured to execute the presentation module in order to generate and display, as part of the overlay, a visual indication of the generated crime risk rating; wherein the particular future time window corresponds to a particular future law enforcement patrol shift, the particular future law enforcement patrol shift corresponding periodically recurring continuous period of time; wherein the overlay visually indicates the particular future law enforcement patrol shift; wherein the overlay further visually indicates, for each of a plurality of periodically recurring continuous sub-time periods of the periodically recurring continuous period of time, a number of the historical crime incidents that occurred during the each periodically recurring continuous sub-time period and in the particular target geographic area. - View Dependent Claims (2, 3, 4, 5, 6, 7, 8, 9, 10)
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11. A computer system comprising:
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a database storing historical crime incident data reflecting crime incidents that occurred over a past period of time; one or more computer readable media storing one or more software modules comprising computer executable instructions; one or more hardware processors in communication with the one or more computer readable media, and configured to execute a forecasting module of the software modules in order to; generate, based at least on a plurality of different criminological algorithms, a plurality of crime risk forecasts based at least in part on the historical crime incident data in the database, wherein each generated crime risk forecast of the plurality of crime risk forecasts comprises a geographic target area of the forecast, a time window of the forecast, and a crime type; provide as input to a machine learning algorithm a) the plurality of crime risk forecasts and b) actual crime incident data for the geographic target areas and the time windows of the plurality of crime risk forecasts; assign, based at least on output of the machine learning algorithm, a weight to each of the plurality of different criminological algorithms; generate a crime risk forecast based at least on the plurality of different criminological algorithms and the assigned weights, the generated crime risk forecast being for a particular target geographic area, a particular future time window, and a particular crime type; and generate a crime risk rating as part of generating the crime risk forecast; the one or more hardware processors further configured to execute a presentation module of the software modules in order to generate and display a graphical user interface overlay on an interactive geospatial basemap generated by a geospatial application, the overlay visually indicating the particular target geographic area of the generated crime risk forecast on the interactive geospatial basemap, the overlay visually indicating the particular future time window of the generated crime risk forecast, and the overlay visually indicating the particular crime type of the generated crime risk forecast; the one or more hardware processors further configured to execute the presentation module in order to generate and display, as part of the overlay, a visual indication of the generated crime risk rating; wherein the particular future time window corresponds to a particular future law enforcement patrol shift, the particular future law enforcement patrol shift corresponding to a periodically recurring continuous period of time; wherein the overlay visually indicates the particular future law enforcement patrol shift; wherein the overlay further visually indicates, for each of a plurality of periodically recurring continuous sub-time periods of the periodically recurring continuous period of time, a number of the historical crime incidents that occurred during the each periodically recurring continuous sub-time period and in the particular target geographic area. - View Dependent Claims (12, 13, 14, 15, 16, 17, 18, 19)
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20. A computer-implemented method comprising:
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a forecasting module generating, via at least one hardware processor, based at least on a plurality of different criminological algorithms, a plurality of crime risk forecasts based at least in part on historical crime incident data in the database reflecting crime incidents that occurred over a past period of time, wherein each generated crime risk forecast of the plurality of crime risk forecasts comprises a geographic target area of the forecast, a time window of the forecast, and a crime type; the forecasting module, via at least one hardware processor, providing as input to a machine learning algorithm a) the plurality of crime risk forecasts and b) actual crime incident data for the geographic target areas and the time windows of the plurality of crime risk forecasts; the forecasting module assigning, via at least one hardware processor, based at least on output of the machine learning algorithm, a weight to each of the plurality of different criminological algorithms; and the forecasting module generating, via at least one hardware processor, a crime risk forecast based at least on the plurality of different criminological algorithms and the assigned weights, the generated crime risk forecast being for a particular target geographic area, a particular future time window, and a particular crime type; the forecasting module generating, via at least one hardware processor, a crime risk rating as part of generating the crime risk forecast; a presentation module generating and displaying, via at least one hardware processor, a graphical user interface overlay on an interactive geospatial basemap generated by a geo spatial application, the overlay visually indicating the particular target geographic area of the generated crime risk forecast on the interactive geospatial basemap, the overlay visually indicating the particular future time window of the generated crime risk forecast, and the overlay visually indicating the particular crime type of the generated crime risk forecast; and the presentation module generating and displaying, via at least one hardware processor, as part of the overlay, a visual indication of the generated crime risk rating; wherein the particular future time window corresponds to a particular future law enforcement patrol shift, the particular future law enforcement patrol shift corresponding to a periodically recurring continuous period of time; wherein the overlay visually indicates the particular future law enforcement patrol shift; wherein the overlay further visually indicates, for each of a plurality of periodically recurring continuous sub-time periods of the periodically recurring continuous period of time, a number of the historical crime incidents that occurred during the each periodically recurring continuous sub-time period and in the particular target geographic area.
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Specification