Rapid data-based data adequacy procedure for pipeline integrity assessment

• US 9,182,081 B2
• Filed: 06/30/2008
• Issued: 11/10/2015
• Est. Priority Date: 06/30/2008
• Status: Expired due to Fees

• Current Assignee: BP Corporation North America Incorporated (BP PLC), BP Exploration Operating Company Limited (BP PLC)
• Original Assignee: BP Corporation North America Incorporated (BP PLC), BP Exploration Operating Company Limited (BP PLC)
• Inventors: Ziegel, Eric R., Bailey, Richard S., Sprague, Kip P.
• Primary Examiner(s): PARK, HYUN D
• Application Number:
  US12/164,971
• Publication Number:
  US 20090326865A1
• Time in Patent Office: 2,689 Days
• Field of Search: 702/179
• US Class Current: 1/1
• CPC Class Codes: F17D 5/00 Protection or supervision of installations arrangements for protecting foundations E02D31/00; protecting pipes from damage or internal or external wear F16L57/00, against corrosion and scale F16L58/00; investigation of the fluid-tightness of structures G01M3/00

Abstract

A method and system for evaluating the sample coverage of ultrasonic or radiography (UT/RT) measurements of pipeline wall thickness for statistical validity. A data library contains distributions of in-line inspection (ILI) measurements for other pipelines, calibrated to correspond to UT/RT measurements as needed. The data library for these ILI-measured pipelines also includes statistics generated from Monte Carlo simulation, by way of which various sample coverage levels sample the ILI measurements, for determining whether a measurement exceeds a given threshold or meets another premise related to determining the extreme wall loss measurement for the pipeline. A pipeline with sampled UT/RT measurements is used to identify one or more ILI-measured pipeline datasets that are most similar, and the statistics from those most similar pipeline datasets determine whether the sample coverage of the UT/RT measurements is sufficient to draw conclusions about the extreme value of wall loss in the sampled pipeline.

Claims

1. A method of evaluating a sufficiency of a number of measurements of an integrity of a pipeline, comprising:

receiving sampled measurement data of pipeline wall thickness loss for the pipeline, wherein the sampled measurement data was obtained at a plurality of sample locations along an external surface of the pipeline;

identifying a maximum wall thickness loss measurement from the sampled measurement data;

identifying in-line inspection measurement data of pipeline wall thickness loss for a plurality of reference pipeline datasets stored in a data library;

selecting a subset of the in-line inspection measurement data having maximum wall thickness loss measurements that are greater than a first predetermined value when the maximum wall thickness loss measurement from the sampled measurement data is less than the first predetermined value;

calculating differences between a distribution of the sampled measurement data of pipeline wall thickness loss and distributions of the subset of the in-line inspection measurement data of pipeline wall thickness loss;

selecting at least a portion of the in-line inspection measurement data from the subset of the in-line inspection measurement data having distributions similar to the distribution of the sampled measurement data of pipeline wall thickness loss, wherein the similarity is determined by comparing the calculated differences;

retrieving, from the data library, at least a first statistic for the portion of the in-line inspection measurement data, the first statistic indicating a sample coverage required to accept a first premise regarding an extreme value of wall thickness loss for the pipeline to a specified confidence level;

determining, by a computer, from at least the first statistic and the sampled measurement data, a sufficiency of the sampled measurement data to allow a determination of the integrity of the pipeline;

acquiring a new set of sample measurements of pipeline wall thickness loss for the pipeline responsive to the determining indicating that the sampled measurement data is insufficient to allow the determination of the integrity of the pipeline, wherein sample coverage for the new set of sample measurements is greater than sample coverage for the sampled measurement data;

replacing at least a portion of the pipeline responsive to the determining indicating that the sampled measurement data is sufficient to allow the determination of the integrity of the pipeline.

2. The method of claim 1, wherein the first premise is that the extreme value of wall thickness loss for the pipeline does not exceed a first specific percentage.

3. The method of claim 2, wherein a plurality of statistics are retrieved in the retrieving step;

and

wherein a second statistic indicates the sample coverage required to accept a second premise regarding the extreme value of wall thickness for the pipeline to a specified confidence level, the second premise being that the extreme value of wall thickness loss for the pipeline does not exceed a second specific percentage.

4. The method of claim 1, wherein the first premise is that the maximum wall thickness loss measurement from the sampled measurement data is within a specific percentage of the maximum wall thickness loss in the pipeline.

5. The method of claim 1, wherein the calculating step comprises:

determining populations in a first distribution of the in-line inspection measurement data within a plurality of bins;

determining populations in the distribution of the sampled measurement data within the plurality of bins;

calculating differences between the populations in the first distribution of the in-line inspection measurement data and the corresponding populations in the distribution of the sampled measurement data for each of the plurality of bins;

squaring the differences for each of the plurality of bins;

summing the squared differences; and

selecting one or more reference pipeline datasets responsive to the sum of the squared differences.

6. The method of claim 1, wherein the determining step comprises:

comparing a sample coverage of the sampled measurement data for the pipeline to the required sample coverage indicated by the first statistic.

7. The method of claim 1, further comprising:

generating the data library from the in-line inspection measurement data for the plurality of reference pipeline datasets, the data library comprising, for each reference pipeline dataset;

a distribution of the in-line inspection measurement data for the reference pipeline datasets, and

one or more statistics comprising at least the first statistic.

8. The method of claim 7, wherein the step of generating the data library comprises, for each of the plurality of reference pipeline datasets:

retrieving the in-line inspection measurement data for the reference pipeline datasets;

generating the distributions of the in-line inspection measurement data for the reference pipeline datasets;

storing the distributions in the data library in association with the reference pipeline datasets;

at a first sample coverage, randomly sampling the in-line inspection measurement data;

repeating the randomly sampling step for a plurality of repetitions at the first sample coverage;

determining a percentage of the plurality of repetitions that the first premise is satisfied by the random sample;

repeating the randomly sampling step, the repeating step, and the determining step for a plurality of sample coverages; and

storing, in the data library and in association with the reference pipeline datasets, sample coverage statistics corresponding to the percentages from the repeated determining step.

9. The method of claim 8, wherein the step of generating the data library further comprises:

calibrating the retrieved in-line inspection measurement data according to a calibration function between the in-line inspection measurement data and the sampled measurement data.

10. The method of claim 8, wherein the step of generating the data library further comprises:

calibrating the distribution of the in-line inspection measurement data according to a calibration function between the in-line inspection measurement data and the sampled measurement data.

11. The method of claim 1, further comprising selecting a different subset of the inline inspection measurement data having maximum wall thickness loss measurements that are greater than a second predetermined value when the maximum wall thickness loss measurement from the received sampled measurement data is greater than the second predetermined value, wherein the second predetermined value is greater than the first predetermined value.

12. An evaluation system for evaluating measurements of pipeline wall thicknesses, comprising:

a memory resource for storing a data library;

one or more central processing units for executing program instructions;

and program memory, coupled to the central processing unit, for storing a computer program including program instructions that, when executed by the one or more central processing units, is capable of causing the evaluation system to perform a sequence of operations for evaluating a sufficiency of a number of measurements of an integrity of a pipeline, the sequence of operations comprising;

receiving sampled measurement data of pipeline wall thickness loss for the pipeline,

wherein the sampled measurement data was obtained at a plurality of sample locations along an external surface of the pipeline;

identifying a maximum wall thickness loss measurement from the sampled measurement data;

identifying in-line inspection measurement data of pipeline wall thickness loss for a plurality of reference pipeline datasets stored in a data library;

selecting a subset of the in-line inspection measurement data having maximum wall thickness loss measurements that are greater than a first predetermined value when the maximum wall thickness loss measurement from the sampled measurement data is less than the first predetermined value;

calculating differences between a distribution of the sampled measurement data of pipeline wall thickness loss and distributions of the subset of the in-line inspection measurement data of pipeline wall thickness loss;

selecting at least a portion of the in-line inspection measurement data from the subset of the in-line inspection measurement data having distributions similar to the distribution of the sampled measurement data of pipeline wall thickness loss, wherein the similarity is determined by comparing the calculated differences;

retrieving, from the data library, at least a first statistic for the portion of the in-line inspection measurement data, the first statistic indicating a sample coverage required to accept a first premise regarding an extreme value of wall thickness loss for the pipeline to a specified confidence level;

comparing a sample coverage of the sampled measurement data for the pipeline to the required sample coverage indicated by the first statistic to determine a sufficiency of the sampled measurement data to allow a determination of the integrity of the pipeline;

requiring acquisition of a new set of sample measurements of pipeline wall thickness loss for the pipeline responsive to the comparing indicating that the sampled measurement data is insufficient to allow the determination of the integrity of the pipeline, wherein sample coverage for the new set of sample measurements is greater than sample coverage for the sampled measurement data;

replacing at least a portion of the pipeline responsive to the comparing indicating that the sampled measurement data is sufficient to allow the determination of the integrity of the pipeline.

13. The evaluation system of claim 12, further comprising:

a network interface for presenting and receiving communication signals to a network accessible to human users;

wherein the memory resource is accessible to the central processing units via the network interface.

14. The evaluation system of claim 12, wherein the operation of receiving sampled measurement data comprises:

accessing the memory resource.

15. The evaluation system of claim 12, wherein the first premise is that the extreme value of wall thickness loss for the pipeline does not exceed a first specific percentage.

16. The evaluation system of claim 15, wherein a plurality of statistics are retrieved in the retrieving operation;

and wherein a second statistic indicates the sample coverage required to accept a second premise regarding the extreme value of wall thickness for the pipeline to a specified confidence level, the second premise being that the extreme value of wall thickness loss for the pipeline does not exceed a second specific percentage.

17. The evaluation system of claim 12, wherein the first premise is that the maximum wall thickness loss measurement from the sampled measurement data is within a specific percentage of the maximum wall thickness loss in the pipeline.

18. The evaluation system of claim 12, wherein the calculating operation comprises:

determining populations in a first distribution of the in-line inspection measurement data within a plurality of bins;

determining populations in the distributions of the sampled measurement data within the plurality of bins;

calculating differences between the populations in the first distribution of the in-line inspection measurement data and the corresponding populations in the distribution of the sampled measurement data for each of the plurality of bins;

squaring the differences for each of the plurality of bins;

summing the squared differences; and

selecting one or more reference pipeline datasets responsive to the sum of the squared differences.

19. A non-transitory computer-readable medium storing a computer program that, when executed on a computer system, causes the computer system to perform a sequence of operations for evaluating a sufficiency of a number of measurements of an integrity of a pipeline, the sequence of operations comprising:

receiving sampled measurement data of pipeline wall thickness loss for the pipeline, wherein the sampled measurement data was obtained at a plurality of sample locations along an external surface of the pipeline;

identifying a maximum wall thickness loss measurement from the sampled measurement identifying in-line inspection measurement data of pipeline wall thickness loss for a plurality of reference pipeline datasets stored in a data library;

selecting a subset of the in-line inspection measurement data having maximum wall thickness loss measurements that are greater than a first predetermined value when the maximum wall thickness loss measurement from the sampled measurement data is less than the first predetermined value;

calculating differences between a distribution of the sampled measurement data of pipeline wall thickness loss and distributions of the subset of the in-line inspection measurement data of pipeline wall thickness loss;

selecting at least a portion of the in-line inspection measurement data from the subset of the in-line inspection measurement data having distributions similar to the distribution of the sampled measurement data of pipeline wall thickness loss, wherein the similarity is determined by comparing the calculated differences;

retrieving, from the data library, at least a first statistic for the portion of the in-line inspection measurement data, the first statistic indicating a sample coverage required to accept a first premise regarding an extreme value of wall thickness loss for the pipeline to a specified confidence level;

determining, from at least the first statistic and the sampled measurement data, a sufficiency of the sampled measurement data to allow a determination of the integrity of the pipeline;

requiring acquisition of a new set of sample measurements of pipeline wall thickness loss for the pipeline responsive to the determining indicating that the sampled measurement data is insufficient to allow the determination of the integrity of the pipeline, wherein sample coverage for the new set of sample measurements is greater than sample coverage for the sampled measurement data;

replacing at least a portion of the pipeline responsive to the comparing indicating that the sampled measurement data is sufficient to allow the determination of the integrity of the pipeline.

20. The non-transitory computer-readable medium of claim 19, wherein the first premise is that the extreme value of wall thickness loss for the pipeline does not exceed a first specific percentage.

21. The non-transitory computer-readable medium of claim 20, wherein a plurality of statistics are retrieved in the retrieving operation;

and wherein a second statistic indicates the sample coverage required to accept a second premise regarding the extreme value of wall thickness for the pipeline to a specified confidence level, the second premise being that the extreme value of wall thickness loss for the pipeline does not exceed a second specific percentage.

22. The non-transitory computer-readable medium of claim 19, wherein the first premise is that the maximum wall thickness loss measurement from the sampled measurement data is within a specific percentage of the maximum wall thickness loss in the pipeline.

23. The non-transitory computer-readable medium of claim 19, wherein the calculating step comprises:

determining populations in a first distribution of the in-line inspection measurement data within a plurality of bins;

determining populations in the distributions of sampled measurement data within the plurality of bins;

calculating differences between the populations in the first distribution of the in-line inspection measurement data and the corresponding populations in the distribution of the sampled measurement data for each of the plurality of bins;

squaring the differences for each of the plurality of bins;

summing the squared differences; and

selecting one or more reference pipeline datasets responsive to the sum of the squared differences.

24. The non-transitory computer-readable medium of claim 19, wherein the determining step comprises:

comparing a sample coverage of the sampled measurement data for the pipeline to the required sample coverage indicated by the first statistic.

25. The non-transitory computer-readable medium of claim 19, wherein the sequence of operations further comprises:

generating a data library, for each of the plurality of reference pipeline datasets, by;

retrieving the in-line inspection measurement data for the reference pipeline datasets;

generating the distributions of the in-line inspection measurement data for the reference pipeline datasets;

storing the distributions in the data library III association with the reference pipeline datasets;

at a first sample coverage, randomly sampling the in-line inspection measurement data;

repeating the randomly sampling step for a plurality of repetitions at the first sample coverage;

determining a percentage of the plurality of repetitions that the first premise is satisfied by the random sample;

repeating the randomly sampling step, the repeating step, and the determining step for a plurality of sample coverages; and

storing, in the data library and in association with the reference pipeline datasets, sample coverage statistics corresponding to the percentages from the repeated determining step.

26. The non-transitory computer-readable medium of claim 25, wherein the operation of generating the data library further comprises:

calibrating the retrieved in-line inspection measurement data according to a calibration function between the in-line inspection measurement data and the sampled measurement data.