Estimation of arrival times at transit stops
First Claim
1. A method for providing a consolidated estimated time of arrival in a scheduled transportation system, the method comprising:
- receiving a production table that includes a scheduled location and a scheduled time of arrival at each of a plurality of stops along a route for each of a plurality of vehicles in the scheduled transportation system, which includes a plurality of routes;
calculating, by a processor, the consolidated estimated time of arrival for each of the plurality of vehicles at each of the stops based on the scheduled time of arrival and associating a confidence level with the consolidated estimated time of arrival;
calculating, by the processor, a risk of a passenger in the scheduled transportation system of missing a connection based on the consolidated estimated time of arrival and providing an alternative route to the passenger when the risk exceeds a threshold level;
based on receiving a real-time estimated time of arrival for one or more of the plurality of vehicles for one of the stops, re-calculating, by the processor, the consolidated estimated time of arrival based on the scheduled time of arrival and the real-time estimated time of arrival and increasing the confidence level with the consolidated estimated time of arrival; and
based on receiving a predictive estimated time of arrival for one or more of the plurality of vehicles for one of the stops, re-calculating, by the processor, the consolidated estimated time of arrival based on the scheduled time of arrival, the real-time estimated time of arrival, and the predictive estimated time of arrival and increasing the confidence level with the consolidated estimated time of arrival,wherein the scheduled transportation system comprises at least two transport modalities and wherein the predictive estimated time of arrival is calculated based at least one of a real time data, a historical data and one or more external variables including a current weather and traffic conditions and wherein the predictive estimated time of arrival is the historical data calculated by assigning a higher weight to historical data measured in weather and traffic conditions that are comparable to current conditions given by the one or more external variables.
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Abstract
Embodiments of the disclosure include a method for providing a consolidated estimated time of arrival in a scheduled transportation system. The method includes receiving at least one of a scheduled time of arrival, a real-time estimated time of arrival and a predictive estimated time of arrival and assigning a weight to each of the scheduled time of arrival, the real-time estimated time of arrival and the predictive estimated time of arrival. The method also includes calculating a confidence level and the consolidated estimated time of arrival based on the weights and the scheduled time of arrival, the real-time estimated time of arrival and the predictive estimated time of arrival.
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Citations
8 Claims
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1. A method for providing a consolidated estimated time of arrival in a scheduled transportation system, the method comprising:
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receiving a production table that includes a scheduled location and a scheduled time of arrival at each of a plurality of stops along a route for each of a plurality of vehicles in the scheduled transportation system, which includes a plurality of routes; calculating, by a processor, the consolidated estimated time of arrival for each of the plurality of vehicles at each of the stops based on the scheduled time of arrival and associating a confidence level with the consolidated estimated time of arrival; calculating, by the processor, a risk of a passenger in the scheduled transportation system of missing a connection based on the consolidated estimated time of arrival and providing an alternative route to the passenger when the risk exceeds a threshold level; based on receiving a real-time estimated time of arrival for one or more of the plurality of vehicles for one of the stops, re-calculating, by the processor, the consolidated estimated time of arrival based on the scheduled time of arrival and the real-time estimated time of arrival and increasing the confidence level with the consolidated estimated time of arrival; and based on receiving a predictive estimated time of arrival for one or more of the plurality of vehicles for one of the stops, re-calculating, by the processor, the consolidated estimated time of arrival based on the scheduled time of arrival, the real-time estimated time of arrival, and the predictive estimated time of arrival and increasing the confidence level with the consolidated estimated time of arrival, wherein the scheduled transportation system comprises at least two transport modalities and wherein the predictive estimated time of arrival is calculated based at least one of a real time data, a historical data and one or more external variables including a current weather and traffic conditions and wherein the predictive estimated time of arrival is the historical data calculated by assigning a higher weight to historical data measured in weather and traffic conditions that are comparable to current conditions given by the one or more external variables. - View Dependent Claims (2, 3, 4, 5, 6)
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7. A method for providing a consolidated estimated time of arrival in a scheduled transportation system, the method comprising:
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receiving a scheduled time of arrival, a real-time estimated time of arrival and a predictive estimated time of arrival, wherein the scheduled time of arrival is based upon a production schedule that includes a scheduled location and a scheduled time of arrival at stops along a route for each of a plurality of vehicles in the scheduled transportation system, which includes a plurality of routes; assigning a weight to each of the scheduled time of arrival, the real-time estimated time of arrival and the predictive estimated time of arrival, wherein the weight assigned to the scheduled time of arrival is based on an amount of historical information available and wherein the weight assigned to the real-time estimated time of arrival is based on an availability of real-time data and a quality of the real-time data; calculating, by a processor, a confidence level and the consolidated estimated time of arrival based on the weights and the scheduled time of arrival, the real-time estimated time of arrival and the predictive estimated time of arrival; and calculating, by the processor, a risk of a passenger in the scheduled transportation system of missing a connection based on the consolidated estimated time of arrival and providing an alternative route to the passenger when the risk exceeds a threshold level; wherein the scheduled transportation system comprises at least two transport modalities and wherein the predictive estimated time of arrival is calculated based upon a historical data and one or more external variables including a current weather and traffic conditions and wherein the predictive estimated time of arrival is the historical data calculated by assigning a higher weight to historical data measured in weather and traffic conditions that are comparable to current conditions given by the one or more external variables. - View Dependent Claims (8)
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Specification