Collective evaluation of alternatives in a collaborative decision making environment

• US 9,324,027 B2
• Filed: 07/30/2013
• Issued: 04/26/2016
• Est. Priority Date: 07/30/2013
• Status: Active Grant

• Current Assignee: International Business Machines Corporation
• Original Assignee: International Business Machines Corporation
• Inventors: Mills, Nathaniel, Ray, Bonnie K., Rios Aliaga, Jesus M., Ross, Steven I.
• Primary Examiner(s): Hill, Stanley K
• Assistant Examiner(s): Buss, Benjamin
• Application Number:
  US13/953,926
• Publication Number:
  US 20150039548A1
• Time in Patent Office: 1,001 Days
• Field of Search: None
• US Class Current: 1/1
• CPC Class Codes: G06N 5/04 Inference or reasoning models

Abstract

A system, method and computer program product for facilitating collaborative decision making may be provided. The system receives data representing individual postings of users associated with a deliberation to make a decision. The system further receives ratings associated with the individual postings in order to make the decision. The system represents the received data in a hierarchical data structure. The system aggregates, through the hierarchical data structure, the ratings associated with the individual postings to obtain strength values. The system facilitates the making of the decision based on the aggregated strength values.

Claims

1. A method for facilitating collaborative decision making, the method comprising:

receiving, at a computer system, data representing one or more individual postings and ratings associated with the individual postings, the data associated with a deliberation to make a decision;

representing the received data in a hierarchical data structure;

aggregating, through the hierarchical data structure, the ratings associated with the individual postings to obtain strength values;

facilitating collaborative decision making based on the strength values; and

receiving a change associated with the individual postings or the ratings and notifying at least one user of the change, wherein the change is a change of an assumption that an idea is true to an assumption that the idea is false and wherein the notifying is to each user who had supported the idea based upon the assumption that the idea is true;

wherein a processor unit coupled to a memory device in the computer system performs the receiving the data, the representing, the aggregating, the facilitating of the decision making and the receiving the change and notifying the users.

2. The method according to claim 1, wherein each individual posting comprises one or more of:

one or more issues, one or more ideas, one or more arguments, and one or more relations, associated with the decision making.

3. The method according to claim 2, wherein an idea is associated with one or more arguments including one or more claims and the one or more relations, the relations including a first-type relation that indicates that the claims support a corresponding argument and a second-type relation that indicates that the claims rebut the corresponding argument.

4. The method according to claim 3, wherein the ratings represent one or more of:

preferences of users for the idea;

a value indicating the users'"'"' degree of belief in truth or falseness of the claims;

or

evaluations of the corresponding argument.

5. The method according to claim 1, further comprising one or more of:

sorting the individual postings according to the strength values, and

accumulating strength values of dependent child nodes in the hierarchical data structure to determine a strength value of a node in the hierarchical data structure.

6. The method according to claim 1, further comprising:

analyzing contributions of users to the made decision based on one or more of;

contents of the individual postings;

a structure of the individual postings; and

the ratings.

7. The method according to claim 3, wherein the aggregating the ratings comprises:

defining criteria associated with the strength values;

associating a weight to each criterion;

applying the weight of each criterion to the strength values; and

aggregating results of the applying,

wherein the aggregated results represent an evaluation of the idea by users.

8. The method according to claim 7, wherein

the first-type relations increase the aggregated results, and the second-type relations decrease the aggregated results, and

each individual posting and a corresponding rating have a different effect on the aggregated results.

9. The method according to claim 7, further comprising one or both of:

calculating a first probability that the idea is true based on the aggregated results; and

calculating a second probability that the idea is false based on the aggregated results.

10. The method according to claim 9, further comprising:

evaluating the idea based on one or both of the calculated first probability and the calculated second probability.

11. The method according to claim 7, further comprising:

dynamically receiving one or more updates on the individual postings and the ratings; and

re-computing the aggregated results based on the one or more updates.

12. A system for facilitating collaborative decision making, the system comprising:

a memory device; and

a processor coupled to the memory device, wherein the processor is configured to perform;

receiving, at a computer system, data representing one or more individual postings and ratings associated with the individual postings, the data associated with a deliberation to make a decision;

representing the received data in a hierarchical data structure;

aggregating, through the hierarchical data structure, the ratings associated with the individual postings to obtain strength values;

facilitating the collaborative decision making based on the strength values; and

receiving a change associated with the individual postings or the ratings and notifying at least one user of the change, wherein the change is a change of an assumption that an idea is true to an assumption that the idea is false and wherein the notifying is to each user who had supported the idea based upon the assumption that the idea is true.

13. The system according to claim 12, wherein each individual posting comprises one or more of:

one or more issues, one or more ideas, one or more arguments, and one or more relations, associated with the decision making.

14. The system according to claim 13, wherein an idea is associated with one or more arguments including one or more claims and the one or more relations, the relations including a first-type relation that indicates that the claims support a corresponding argument and a second-type relation that indicates that the claims rebut the corresponding argument.

15. The system according to claim 14, wherein the ratings represent one or more of:

preferences of users for the idea;

a value indicating the users'"'"' degree of belief in truth or falseness of the claims;

or

evaluations of the corresponding argument.

16. The system according to claim 12, wherein the processor is further configured to perform one or more of:

sorting the individual postings according to the strength values, and

in order to perform aggregating, accumulating strength values of dependent child nodes in the hierarchical data structure to determine a strength value of a node in the hierarchical data structure.

17. The system according to claim 12, wherein in order to perform the aggregating the ratings, the processor is further configured to perform:

defining criteria associated with the strength values;

associating a weight to each criterion;

applying the weight of each criterion to the strength values; and

aggregating results of the applying,

wherein the aggregated results represent an evaluation of the idea by the users.

18. The system according to claim 17, wherein the processor is further configured to perform one or both of:

calculating a first probability that the idea is true based on the aggregated results; and

calculating a second probability that the idea is false based on the aggregated results.

19. A computer program product for facilitating a collaborative decision making method, the computer program product comprising a computer readable storage medium readable by a machine and storing instructions run by the machine to perform a method, said method steps comprising:

receiving, at a computer system, data representing one or more individual postings and ratings associated with the individual postings, the data associated with a deliberation to make a decision;

representing the received data in a hierarchical data structure;

aggregating, through the hierarchical data structure, the ratings associated with the individual postings to obtain strength values; and

facilitating the collaborative decision making based on the strength values; and

receiving a change associated with the individual postings or the ratings and notifying at least one user of the change, wherein the change is a change of an assumption that an idea is true to an assumption that the idea is false and wherein the notifying is to each user who had supported the idea based upon the assumption that the idea is true.

20. The computer program product according to claim 19, wherein each individual posting comprises one or more of:

one or more issues, one or more ideas, one or more arguments, and one or more relations, associated with the decision making.

21. The computer program product according to claim 20, wherein an idea is associated with one or more arguments including one or more claims and the one or more relations, the relations including a first-type relation that indicates that the claims support a corresponding argument and a second-type relation that indicates that the claims rebut the corresponding argument.