State trajectory prediction in an electric power delivery system
First Claim
1. A system for state trajectory prediction in an electric power delivery system, comprising:
- a data communication network configured to gather a plurality of values based on measurements associated with the electric power delivery system;
a power flow calculation subsystem configured to;
initialize a plurality of time-synchronized complex values representing electrical conditions at a plurality of buses in the electric power delivery system;
identify each bus with positive power flow as a generator; and
identify each bus with a negative power flow as a load;
a state trajectory prediction system in communication with the data communication network and configured to receive the values and to use the values to develop;
a load prediction profile associated with at least one bus identified as a load and based, at least in part, on the measurements of the electric power delivery system and the plurality of time-synchronized complex values, the load prediction profile configured to provide a predicted response of a load at a future time;
a generator prediction profile associated with at least one bus identified as a generator and based, at least in part, on the measurements of the electric power delivery system and the plurality of time-synchronized complex values, the generator prediction profile configured to provide a predicted response of a generator at the future time;
a plurality of predicted values configured to represent the electric power delivery system over a period of time and determined based on an iterative computation of the predicted response of the load and the prediction response of the generator at a plurality of step intervals;
a state trajectory prediction configured to represent a future state of the electric power delivery system based, at least in part, on the plurality of predicted values, the plurality of time-synchronized complex values, and identification of each bus; and
a control system configured to implement a control action based, at least in part, on the state trajectory prediction.
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Accused Products
Abstract
Disclosed is state trajectory prediction in an electric power delivery system. Electric power delivery system information is calculated from measurements by intelligent electronic devices (IEDs), and communicated to a state trajectory prediction system. The state trajectory prediction system may be configured to generate a load prediction profile. The load prediction profile may provide a predicted response of a load at a future time. Further, the state trajectory prediction system may be configured to generate a generator prediction profile that provides a predicted response of a generator at a future time. The state trajectory prediction system may generate a state trajectory prediction based, at least in part, on the load prediction profile and the generator prediction profile. The state trajectory prediction may represent a future state of the electric power delivery system.
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Citations
27 Claims
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1. A system for state trajectory prediction in an electric power delivery system, comprising:
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a data communication network configured to gather a plurality of values based on measurements associated with the electric power delivery system; a power flow calculation subsystem configured to; initialize a plurality of time-synchronized complex values representing electrical conditions at a plurality of buses in the electric power delivery system; identify each bus with positive power flow as a generator; and identify each bus with a negative power flow as a load; a state trajectory prediction system in communication with the data communication network and configured to receive the values and to use the values to develop; a load prediction profile associated with at least one bus identified as a load and based, at least in part, on the measurements of the electric power delivery system and the plurality of time-synchronized complex values, the load prediction profile configured to provide a predicted response of a load at a future time; a generator prediction profile associated with at least one bus identified as a generator and based, at least in part, on the measurements of the electric power delivery system and the plurality of time-synchronized complex values, the generator prediction profile configured to provide a predicted response of a generator at the future time; a plurality of predicted values configured to represent the electric power delivery system over a period of time and determined based on an iterative computation of the predicted response of the load and the prediction response of the generator at a plurality of step intervals; a state trajectory prediction configured to represent a future state of the electric power delivery system based, at least in part, on the plurality of predicted values, the plurality of time-synchronized complex values, and identification of each bus; and a control system configured to implement a control action based, at least in part, on the state trajectory prediction. - View Dependent Claims (2, 3, 4, 5, 6, 7, 8, 9, 25, 26, 27)
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10. A method for predicting a state trajectory in an electric power delivery system, comprising:
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receiving a plurality of values based on measurements associated with an electric power delivery system; initializing a plurality of time-synchronized complex values representing electrical conditions at a plurality of buses in the electric power delivery system; identifying each bus with positive power flow as a generator; identifying each bus with a negative power flow as a load; obtaining a topology of the electric power delivery system; determining a predicted response of a load at a future time using a load prediction profile; determining a prediction response of a generator at a future time using a generator prediction profile; iteratively computing a plurality of values representing the electric power delivery system over a period of time based on the predicted response of the load and the prediction response of the generator; generating a state trajectory prediction representing a future state of the electric power delivery system based, at least in part, on the load prediction profile and the generator prediction profile; implementing a control action based, at least in part, on the state trajectory prediction. - View Dependent Claims (11, 12, 13, 14, 15)
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16. A system for state trajectory prediction in an electric power delivery system, comprising:
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a bus; a processor in communication with the bus; and a non-transitory computer-readable storage medium, comprising; a load prediction profile module executable on the processor and configured to provide a predicted response of a load at a future time; a generator prediction profile module executable on the processor and configured to provide a predicted response of a generator at the future time; a power flow module executable on the processor and configured to; initialize a plurality of time-synchronized complex values representing electrical conditions at a plurality of buses in the electric power delivery system; identify each bus with positive power flow as a generator; and identify each bus with a negative power flow as a load; determine a plurality of predicted values configured to represent the electric power delivery system over a period of time and determined based on an iterative computation of the predicted response of the load and the prediction response of the generator at a plurality of step intervals; and a state trajectory prediction module executable on the processor and configured to predict a future state of the electric power delivery system based, at least in part, on the plurality of predicted values. - View Dependent Claims (17, 18)
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19. A system for state trajectory prediction in a wide-area electric power delivery system, comprising:
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a data communication network configured to gather a plurality of values based on measurements associated with the electric power delivery system at a plurality of geographically distributed locations; a state trajectory prediction system in communication with the data communication network and configured to receive the values and to use the values to develop; a load prediction profile based, at least in part, on the measurements of the wide-area electric power delivery system, the load prediction profile configured to provide a plurality of predicted responses of a load at a future time; a generator prediction profile based, at least in part, on the measurements of the electric power delivery system, the generator prediction profile configured to provide a plurality of predicted responses of a generator at the future time; a plurality of predicted values configured to represent the electric power delivery system over a period of time and determined based on an iterative computation of the plurality of predicted responses of the load and the plurality of prediction responses of the generator at a plurality of step intervals; a state trajectory prediction configured to represent a future state of the wide-area electric power delivery system based, at least in part, on the plurality of predicted responses of the load and the plurality of predicted responses of the generator; and a control system configured to implement a control action based, at least in part, on the state trajectory prediction. - View Dependent Claims (20, 21, 22, 23, 24)
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Specification