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State trajectory prediction in an electric power delivery system

  • US 9,819,227 B2
  • Filed: 02/26/2014
  • Issued: 11/14/2017
  • Est. Priority Date: 02/26/2013
  • Status: Active Grant
First Claim
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1. A system for state trajectory prediction in an electric power delivery system, comprising:

  • a data communication network configured to gather a plurality of values based on measurements associated with the electric power delivery system;

    a power flow calculation subsystem configured to;

    initialize a plurality of time-synchronized complex values representing electrical conditions at a plurality of buses in the electric power delivery system;

    identify each bus with positive power flow as a generator; and

    identify each bus with a negative power flow as a load;

    a state trajectory prediction system in communication with the data communication network and configured to receive the values and to use the values to develop;

    a load prediction profile associated with at least one bus identified as a load and based, at least in part, on the measurements of the electric power delivery system and the plurality of time-synchronized complex values, the load prediction profile configured to provide a predicted response of a load at a future time;

    a generator prediction profile associated with at least one bus identified as a generator and based, at least in part, on the measurements of the electric power delivery system and the plurality of time-synchronized complex values, the generator prediction profile configured to provide a predicted response of a generator at the future time;

    a plurality of predicted values configured to represent the electric power delivery system over a period of time and determined based on an iterative computation of the predicted response of the load and the prediction response of the generator at a plurality of step intervals;

    a state trajectory prediction configured to represent a future state of the electric power delivery system based, at least in part, on the plurality of predicted values, the plurality of time-synchronized complex values, and identification of each bus; and

    a control system configured to implement a control action based, at least in part, on the state trajectory prediction.

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