Estimating time travel distributions on signalized arterials
First Claim
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1. A system for estimating time travel distributions on signalized arterials, comprising:
- a processor;
memory; and
an application stored in memory and executable by the processor to;
receive travel data, wherein the received travel data includes;
travel time observation of the one or more signalized arterials of interest,travel time observation of one or more nearby signalized arterials to the one or more signalized arterials of interest, andcontextual evidence associated with the one or more signalized arterials of interest,estimate a first distribution on one or more signalized arterials, wherein the estimated first distribution is based on the received travel data, and wherein the first distribution comprises a linear combination of individual paces weighted by distance traveled,incorporate travel time variability components with the estimated first distribution, wherein the travel time variability components include individual variations, time-of-day variations and daily variations, andcalibrate the first distribution with prior data including regular past patterns of travel times associated with the one or more signalized arterials to obtain a second distribution, wherein the second distribution is a more recent estimate of travel time compared to the first distribution, and wherein the second distribution also comprises a linear combination of individual paces weighted by distance traveled.
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Abstract
Systems and methods are provided for estimating time travel distributions on signalized arterials. The systems and methods may be implemented as or through a network service. Traffic data regarding a plurality of travel times on a signalized arterial may be received. A present distribution of the travel times on the signalized arterial may be determined. A prior distribution based on one or more travel time observations may also be determined. The present distribution may be calibrated based on the prior distribution.
404 Citations
23 Claims
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1. A system for estimating time travel distributions on signalized arterials, comprising:
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a processor; memory; and an application stored in memory and executable by the processor to; receive travel data, wherein the received travel data includes; travel time observation of the one or more signalized arterials of interest, travel time observation of one or more nearby signalized arterials to the one or more signalized arterials of interest, and contextual evidence associated with the one or more signalized arterials of interest, estimate a first distribution on one or more signalized arterials, wherein the estimated first distribution is based on the received travel data, and wherein the first distribution comprises a linear combination of individual paces weighted by distance traveled, incorporate travel time variability components with the estimated first distribution, wherein the travel time variability components include individual variations, time-of-day variations and daily variations, and calibrate the first distribution with prior data including regular past patterns of travel times associated with the one or more signalized arterials to obtain a second distribution, wherein the second distribution is a more recent estimate of travel time compared to the first distribution, and wherein the second distribution also comprises a linear combination of individual paces weighted by distance traveled. - View Dependent Claims (2, 3, 4, 5, 6, 7, 8, 9, 10, 11, 12, 23)
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13. A method for estimating time travel distributions on signalized arterials, comprising:
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receiving travel data, wherein the received travel data includes; travel time observation of the one or more signalized arterials of interest, travel time observation of one or more nearby signalized arterials to the one or more signalized arterials of interest, and contextual evidence associated with the one or more signalized arterials of interest; and executing instructions stored in memory, wherein execution of the instructions by a computer processor causes the computer processor to; estimate a first distribution on one or more signalized arterials, wherein the estimated first distribution is based on the received travel data, and wherein the first distribution comprises a linear combination of individual paces weighted by distance traveled, incorporate travel time variability components with the estimated first distribution, wherein the travel time variability components include individual variations, time-of-day variations and daily variations, and calibrate the first distribution with prior data including regular past patterns of travel times associated with the one or more signalized arterials to obtain a second distribution, wherein the second distribution is a more recent estimate of travel time compared to the first distribution, and wherein the second distribution also comprises a linear combination of individual paces weighted by distance traveled. - View Dependent Claims (14, 15, 16, 17, 18, 19, 20, 21, 22)
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Specification