Systems and methods for water loss mitigation messaging
First Claim
1. A computer-implemented method, comprising:
- identifying, from an overall set of insurance policyholders, a first set of insurance policyholders that have experienced water loss and a second set of insurance policyholders that have not experienced water loss by accessing and analyzing insurance policy information stored in a database to distinguish the first set of insurance policyholders as those that have prior water loss claims, pending water loss claims, or both and distinguish the second set of insurance policyholders as those that do not have prior water loss claims or pending water loss claims;
constructing a predictive water loss model that estimates a likelihood of a future water loss for the overall set of insurance policyholders, by;
analyzing statistics describing one or more metrics of interest using at least the insurance policy information;
data mining at least the insurance policy information to determine how variables of interest interact with one another to identify relationships between the variables of interest; and
implementing the predictive water loss model based upon the metrics of interest, the variables of interest, or both;
determining a size of a first sample of the first set of insurance policyholders and a size of a second sample of the second set of insurance policyholders such that the first sample of the first set of insurance policyholders and the second sample of the second set of insurance policyholders are balanced in a balanced data set, despite the first set of insurance policyholders being smaller than the second set of insurance policyholders, wherein the balanced data set is implemented by defining the size of the first sample as the entirety of the first set of insurance policyholders and defining the size of the second sample based upon the size of the first set of insurance policyholders;
determining an attribute indicative of increased likelihood of future water loss via the predictive water loss model using the balanced data set;
based upon the attribute, identifying at least one targeted insurance policyholder having an increased likelihood of water loss using a logistic regression that models a log-odds of water loss as opposed to non-water-loss, wherein the logistic regression is determined according to;
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Accused Products
Abstract
A computer-implemented method, includes identifying, a set of insurance policyholders that have experienced water loss and a second set of insurance policyholders that have not experienced water loss. The method also includes determining an attribute indicative of increased likelihood of future water loss using a predictive model using a percentage of the first set of insurance policyholders defining a first sample size of the first set of insurance policyholders that is smaller relative to a percentage of the second set of insurance policyholders defining the second sample size of the second set of insurance policyholders. Further, the method includes identifying at least one targeted insurance policyholder having an increased likelihood of water loss, based upon the attribute and providing a water loss mitigation strategy to the at least one targeted insurance policyholder.
20 Citations
14 Claims
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1. A computer-implemented method, comprising:
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identifying, from an overall set of insurance policyholders, a first set of insurance policyholders that have experienced water loss and a second set of insurance policyholders that have not experienced water loss by accessing and analyzing insurance policy information stored in a database to distinguish the first set of insurance policyholders as those that have prior water loss claims, pending water loss claims, or both and distinguish the second set of insurance policyholders as those that do not have prior water loss claims or pending water loss claims; constructing a predictive water loss model that estimates a likelihood of a future water loss for the overall set of insurance policyholders, by; analyzing statistics describing one or more metrics of interest using at least the insurance policy information; data mining at least the insurance policy information to determine how variables of interest interact with one another to identify relationships between the variables of interest; and implementing the predictive water loss model based upon the metrics of interest, the variables of interest, or both; determining a size of a first sample of the first set of insurance policyholders and a size of a second sample of the second set of insurance policyholders such that the first sample of the first set of insurance policyholders and the second sample of the second set of insurance policyholders are balanced in a balanced data set, despite the first set of insurance policyholders being smaller than the second set of insurance policyholders, wherein the balanced data set is implemented by defining the size of the first sample as the entirety of the first set of insurance policyholders and defining the size of the second sample based upon the size of the first set of insurance policyholders; determining an attribute indicative of increased likelihood of future water loss via the predictive water loss model using the balanced data set; based upon the attribute, identifying at least one targeted insurance policyholder having an increased likelihood of water loss using a logistic regression that models a log-odds of water loss as opposed to non-water-loss, wherein the logistic regression is determined according to; - View Dependent Claims (2, 3, 4, 5, 6, 7, 8)
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9. A tangible, non-transitory, machine-readable medium, comprising machine readable instructions to:
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identify, from an overall set of insurance policyholders, a first set of insurance policyholders that have experienced water loss and a second set of insurance policyholders that have not experienced water loss by accessing and analyzing insurance policy information stored in a database to distinguish the first set of insurance policyholders as those that have prior water loss claims, pending water loss claims, or both and distinguish the second set of insurance policyholders as those that do not have prior water loss claims or pending water loss claims; construct a predictive water loss model that estimates a likelihood of a future water loss for the overall set of insurance policyholders, by; analyzing statistics describing one or more metrics of interest using at least the insurance policy information; data mining at least the insurance policy information to determine how variables of interest interact with one another to identify relationships between the variables of interest; and implementing the predictive water loss model based upon the metrics of interest, the variables of interest, or both; determine a size of a first sample of the first set of insurance policyholders and a size of a second sample of the second set of insurance policyholders such that the first sample of the first set of insurance policyholders and the second sample of the second set of insurance policyholders are balanced in a balanced data set, despite the first set of insurance policyholders being smaller than the second set of insurance policyholders, wherein the balanced data set is implemented by defining the size of the first sample as the entirety of the first set of insurance policyholders and defining the size of the second sample based upon the size of the first set of insurance policyholders; determine an attribute indicative of increased likelihood of future water loss via the predictive water loss model using the balanced data set; determine predicted probabilities of water loss for each insurance policyholder of the overall set of insurance policyholders, according to; - View Dependent Claims (10, 14)
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11. A computer processor configured to:
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identify, from an overall set of insurance policyholders, a first set of insurance policyholders that have experienced water loss and a second set of insurance policyholders that have not experienced water loss by accessing and analyzing insurance policy information stored in a database to distinguish the first set of insurance policyholders as those that have prior water loss claims, pending water loss claims, or both and distinguish the second set of insurance policyholders as those that do not have prior water loss claims or pending water loss claims; construct a predictive water loss model that estimates a likelihood of a future water loss for the overall set of insurance policyholders, by; analyzing statistics describing one or more metrics of interest using at least the insurance policy information; data mining at least the insurance policy information to determine how variables of interest interact with one another to identify relationships between the variables of interest; and implementing the predictive water loss model based upon the metrics of interest, the variables of interest, or both; determine a size of a first sample of the first set of insurance policyholders and a size of a second sample of the second set of insurance policyholders such that the first sample of the first set of insurance policyholders and the second sample of the second set of insurance policyholders are balanced in a balanced data set, despite the first set of insurance policyholders being smaller than the second set of insurance policyholders, by; defining the first sample by oversampling the first set of insurance policyholders; and defining the second sample by randomly sampling the second set of insurance policyholders; determine an attribute indicative of increased likelihood of future water loss via the predictive water loss model using the balanced data set; determine predicted probabilities of water loss for each insurance policyholder of the overall set of insurance policyholders, according to; - View Dependent Claims (12, 13)
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Specification