Stochastically generating facility and well schedules

• US 7,546,228 B2
• Filed: 04/30/2004
• Issued: 06/09/2009
• Est. Priority Date: 04/30/2003
• Status: Active Grant

• Current Assignee: Landmark Graphics Corporation (Halliburton Company)
• Original Assignee: Landmark Graphics Corporation (Halliburton Company)
• Inventors: Cullick, Alvin Stanley, Narayanan, Keshav
• Primary Examiner(s): Rodriguez; Paul L
• Assistant Examiner(s): Craig; Dwin M
• Application Number:
  US10/835,702
• Publication Number:
  US 20040220846A1
• Time in Patent Office: 1,866 Days
• Field of Search: 166/250.15
• US Class Current: 703/10
• CPC Class Codes: G06Q 10/06 Resources, workflows, human or project management; Enterprise or organisation planning; Enterprise or organisation modelling
• CPC Class Codes: G06Q 10/06312 Adjustment or analysis of established resource schedule, e.g. resource or task levelling, or dynamic rescheduling
• CPC Class Codes: G06Q 10/0637 Strategic management or analysis, e.g. setting a goal or target of an organisation; Planning actions based on goals; Analysis or evaluation of effectiveness of goals

Abstract

A system comprising a memory and a processor. The memory is configured to store data and program instructions for a processing method. The processor is configured to read the program instructions from the memory. In response to execution of the program instructions, the processor is operable to: (a) instantiate one or more well process times associated with a first schedule; (b) instantiate a facility establishment time associated with first schedule; (c) instantiate zero or more dependency delays associated with the first schedule; (d) resolve event dates in the first schedule based on resolved event dates in one or more other schedules, the one or more instantiated well process times, the instantiated facility establishment time, and the instantiated dependency delays; (e) compute costs for facility establishment and well processes (e.g., well drilling and well completion) using the resolved event dates.

Claims

1. A computer-implemented method comprising:

(a) the computer instantiating a first set of one or more random variables, that model one or more uncertain time durations associated with one or more respective processes occurring in a first schedule, to determine one or more first instantiated values;

(b) the computer instantiating a second set of one or more random variables, corresponding to constraints on one or more event dates in the first schedule, to determine one or more second instantiated values;

(c) the computer resolving the event dates in the first schedule using the first and second instantiated values, wherein said resolving respects a user-defined ordering of the one or more processes; and

(d) the computer displaying a visual representation of at least the first schedule, wherein the visual representation includes an indication of the resolved event dates.

2. The method of claim 1, further comprising:

the computer repeating (a), (b), (c) for a second schedule.

3. The method of claim 2, wherein at least one of the random variables of the second set models a time-constraint on an event date in the first schedule relative to an event in the second schedule.

4. The method of claim 1, wherein at least one of the random variables of the second set models a time-constraint on an event date in the first schedule relative to a fixed calendar date.

5. The method of claim 1, further comprising:

the computer repeating (a), (b) and (c) a plurality of times to enact a random simulation.

6. The method of claim 5, wherein (a) and (b) are performed using a quantile value selection for each of the random variables in the first set and second set.

7. The method of claim 5, wherein (a) and (b) are performed using Latin-hypercube sampling.

8. The method of claim 5, wherein (a) and (b) are performed using Hammersly sequence sampling.

9. A computer-implemented method for implementing a graphical user interface on a computer system, the method comprising:

(a) the computer receiving first user input specifying a first temporal ordering of wells associated with a first schedule;

(b) the computer receiving second user input characterizing a first distribution of probability for a time duration parameter modeling an uncertain time duration of a process to be performed for each of the wells;

(c) the computer receiving third user input defining a time constraint on a first event in the first schedule with respect to an event in a second schedule; and

the computer displaying a visual representation of at least a first instantiation of the first schedule, wherein the visual representation of the first instantiation of the first schedule includes an indication of at least one event date for each of the wells.

10. The method of claim 9 further comprising the computer displaying an ordered list of the wells, wherein (a) comprises the computer receiving one or more user commands, wherein each of said user commands specifies:

a particular well in the ordered list of the wells; and

whether the particular well is to be moved up or down in the ordered list of the wells.

11. The method of claim 9, wherein the first user input specifies that an automated ranking generated by a software tool is to be used as the first temporal ordering.

12. The method of claim 9, wherein the first user input specifies that a randomly-generated ordering is to be used as the first temporal ordering.

13. The method of claim 9, wherein the time duration parameter is a time duration for drilling each of said wells.

14. The method of claim 9, wherein the time duration parameter is a time duration for completing each of said wells.

15. The method of claim 9, wherein the time duration parameter is a time duration for perforating each of said wells.

16. The method of claim 9, wherein the second user input characterizing the first distribution of probability includes:

a selection from a list of standard probability density functions (PDFs), and

a specification of one or more PDF characterizing parameters.

17. The method of claim 9, wherein the third user input that defines the time constraint includes parameters characterizing a random time delay of the first event relative to the event in the second schedule.

18. The method of claim 9, wherein the first user input specifies that a duration of a process for each well is generated by an automated software tool.

19. A computer-implemented method comprising:

(a) the computer instantiating one or more well process parameters, wherein each of the one or more well process parameters represents an uncertain time duration for a well-related task associated with a first schedule;

(b) the computer instantiating a facility establishment time associated with the first schedule;

(c) the computer resolving event dates in the first schedule based on data including the instantiated well process parameters and the instantiated facility establishment time; and

the computer displaying a visual representation of at least the first schedule, wherein the visual representation includes an indication of the resolved event dates.

20. The method of claim 19 further comprising the computer instantiating one or more dependency delay times associated with the first schedule, wherein each of the dependency delay times is a time delay of an event date in the first schedule relative to an event in a second schedule.

21. The method of claim 20, wherein the data farther comprises the one or more instantiated dependency delay times.

22. The method of claim 19, wherein the data further comprises resolved event dates in one or more other schedules.

23. The method of claim 19, wherein the one or more well process parameters include a well drilling time.

24. The method of claim 19, wherein the one or more well process parameters include a well completion time.

25. The method of claim 19, wherein the one or more well process parameters include a well perforation time.

26. The method of claim 19 further comprising the computer receiving user input assigning a plurality of facilities to the first schedule, wherein said resolving event dates assumes a parallel establishment of the plurality of facilities.

27. The method of claim 19, wherein said resolving event dates assumes that establishment processes for a plurality of facilities associated with the first schedule occur sequentially.

28. The method of claim 19 further comprising:

(d) the computer performing (a), (b) and (c) for each component schedule in a global schedule, wherein said data includes resolved events dates from one or more other component schedules for which (a), (b) and (c) have already been performed.

29. The method of claim 28, further comprising:

(e) the computer performing (d) a plurality of times.

30. The method of claim 28 further comprising:

the computer sorting said event dates from the component schedules in time order; and

the computer transferring the event dates to an analysis algorithm.

31. The method of claim 30, wherein the analysis algorithm is a production profile algorithm.

32. The method of claim 30, wherein the analysis algorithm is an economic analysis algorithm.

33. The method of claim 19, wherein the resolved event dates include drilling start and end dates for a number of wells, wherein said resolving the event dates respects a user-specified ordering of wells.

34. The method of claim 33 further comprising the computer receiving user input defining the well ordering.

35. The method of claim 19, wherein said resolving of event dates comprises the computer setting a production start date for a well to a date not earlier than an end date of establishment of an associated facility.

36. The method of claim 19, wherein said resolving of event dates comprises the computer setting an injection start date for a well to a date not earlier than an end date of establishment of an associated facility.

37. The method of claim 19, wherein said resolving event dates includes:

the computer computing a total well duration by adding the one or more instantiated well process parameters, the computer computing completion end dates for each well in a set of wells associated with the first schedule using a resolved value of a start date of the first schedule the total well duration, and a user defined ordering of the set of wells.

38. The method of claim 37, wherein said resolving event dates further includes:

the computer setting a production start date for a first well of the set of wells equal to the later of the completion end date of the first well and a facility establishment end date of a facility connected to the first well.

39. A system comprising:

a memory that stores program instructions and data;

a processor configured to read the program instructions from the memory, wherein, in response to execution of the program instructions, the processor is operable to;

(a) instantiate one or more well process parameters, wherein each of the well process parameters represents an uncertain time duration for a well-related task associated with a first schedule;

(b) instantiate a facility establishment time associated with first schedule;

(c) resolve event dates in the first schedule based on resolved events date in one or more other schedules, the instantiated well processing times, and the instantiated facility establishment time.

40. A computer-readable memory medium that stores program instructions, wherein the program instructions are configured to direct a computer system to perform operations comprising:

(a) the computer system instantiating one or more well process parameters, wherein each of the one or more well process parameters represents an uncertain time duration for a well-related task associated with a first schedule;

(b) the computer system instantiating a facility establishment time associated with first schedule;

(c) the computer system resolving event dates in the first schedule based on resolved events date in one or more other schedules, the instantiated well processing times, and the instantiated facility establishment time.

41. A computer-implemented method comprising:

(a1) the computer computing instantiated values of one or more uncertain cost components and one or more uncertain time durations associated with drilling a well;

(a2) the computer computing one or more resolved events dates associated with the well using the instantiated values of the one or more uncertain time durations;

(a3) the computer computing a total drilling cost for the well based on the instantiated values of the one or more uncertain cost components and the one or more uncertain time durations;

(b) the computer repeating a set of operations including (a1), (a2) and (a3) a plurality of times;

(c) the computer computing and displaying a histogram of the total drilling cost from said plurality of repetitions.

42. The method of claim 41, wherein the set of operations also includes:

(a4) the computer computing a drilling expenditure rate based on the total drilling cost and the one or more resolved event dates associated with the well.

43. The method of claim 41, wherein the one or more uncertain time durations include a time for drilling the well and at least one drilling delay time.

44. A computer-implemented method comprising:

(a1) the computer computing instantiated values of one or more uncertain cost components and one or more uncertain time durations associated with completion of a well;

(a2) the computer computing one or more resolved events dates associated with the well using the instantiated values of the one or more uncertain time durations;

(a3) the computer computing a total completion cost for the well based on the instantiated values of the one or more uncertain cost components and the one or more uncertain time durations;

(b) the computer repeating a set of operations including (a1), (a2) and (a3) a plurality of times;

(c) the computer computing and displaying a histogram of the total completion cost from said plurality of repetitions.

45. The method of claim 44, wherein the set of operations also includes:

(a4) the computer computing a completion expenditure rate based on the total drilling cost and the one or more resolved event dates associated with the well.

46. The method of claim 44, wherein the one or more uncertain time durations include a time for completion of the well and at least one completion delay time.

47. A computer-implemented method comprising:

(a1) the computer computing instantiated values of one or more uncertain cost components and one or more uncertain time durations associated with establishing a facility;

(a2) the computer computing one or more resolved events dates associated with the facility using the instantiated values of the one or more uncertain time durations;

(a3) the computer computing a total facility cost for the facility based on the instantiated values of the one or more uncertain cost components and the one or more uncertain time durations;

(b) the computer repeating a set of operations including (a1), (a2) and (a3) a plurality of times;

(c) the computer computing and displaying a histogram of the total facility cost from said plurality of repetitions.

48. The method of claim 47, wherein the set of operations also includes:

(a4) the computer computing a facility expenditure rate based on the total facility cost and the resolved one or more event dates associated with the facility.

49. The method of claim 47, wherein the one or more uncertain time durations include a time for designing the facility.

50. The method of claim 47, wherein the one or more uncertain time durations include a time for construction of the facility.

51. The method of claim 47, wherein the one or more uncertain time durations include one or more time delays associated with establishment of the facility.